Ok what amazes me is everyone is looking to the pigs. The question in my mind is as follows. 1) What are the mathematical odds of a random mutation of a virus to contain not 1, 2 but 3 specific DNA components, Bird, swine and human flu strains? 2) What are the added odds then of this "random" virus, to make it appearance during the low end of the flu season, BUT, in an area and at a time when populations from around the world just "Happen" to be present. (Spring break) 3) Add to this very little announced news postings of some lab (forget where) having "Lost" several virus strains form their facility(s). No one happened to have mentions just which viruses were "misplaced" nor for how long had they been missing. 4) Now even removing number three above as simply dismissed as a conspiracy theory, wha6 are the mathematical probabilities of numbers one and two occurring at the same time in the specific location which would allow for quick mass dispersal?
I do not think we need to be searching for some pig farm, but consider this is not a random mutation, but possibly man made.
The scary part of it all is that most "Terrorist" organizations would not have the facilities to create such a virus to my knowledge although I could be wrong. This means if it was manmade, then a much larger organization or government would had to have been responsible. Now that is a scary thought for me. Or perhaps this has already been considered at government levels but no one wants to actually openly voice this particular view in public.
Dr. Emer
· 7 months ago
Conspiracy theories are the playgrounds of Hollywood producers. Don't be scared about the odds of random mutations. They happen. The challenge is how we have to deal with it.
All Comments
1) What are the mathematical odds of a random mutation of a virus to contain not 1, 2 but 3 specific DNA components, Bird, swine and human flu strains?
2) What are the added odds then of this "random" virus, to make it appearance during the low end of the flu season, BUT, in an area and at a time when populations from around the world just "Happen" to be present. (Spring break)
3) Add to this very little announced news postings of some lab (forget where) having "Lost" several virus strains form their facility(s). No one happened to have mentions just which viruses were "misplaced" nor for how long had they been missing.
4) Now even removing number three above as simply dismissed as a conspiracy theory, wha6 are the mathematical probabilities of numbers one and two occurring at the same time in the specific location which would allow for quick mass dispersal?
I do not think we need to be searching for some pig farm, but consider this is not a random mutation, but possibly man made.
The scary part of it all is that most "Terrorist" organizations would not have the facilities to create such a virus to my knowledge although I could be wrong. This means if it was manmade, then a much larger organization or government would had to have been responsible. Now that is a scary thought for me.
Or perhaps this has already been considered at government levels but no one wants to actually openly voice this particular view in public.